Does Obama roll the dice on abortion in 2012?

So, I'm looking at the 2012 calendar trying to pick the date Obama goes all-out on abortion.

He won in 2012 by closing the Democrat's historical gap with white voters, but now it's back down to where it usually is -- except among white women with college degrees, where he's at 56 percent.  He's going to need a MONSTER turnout among that demo to win, which means Democrats will have to employ some serious smear-and-fear tactics.

I mean, telling women (Insert name of Republican nominee) will put a spy camera in your uterus.  Think that's silly?  They're already telling women there's a secret Republican plan to arrest and jail them if they have an abortion and don't report it on their taxes.

The catch, beside the obvious and usual backlash? 

A majority of young voters are now pro-life, with 58 percent saying it is "morally wrong"  Fifty-one percent of them consider it a "very important," while only twenty-six percent of pro-abortion young feel the same of their opinion, which means Obama begins losing the youth vote if he pushes the abortion.

Obama also risks eroding his overall support among women.  Despite the propaganda of the pro-abortion industry, the fact is not only are Americans more likely to be pro-life than pro-"choice," women are more pro-life than men. 

And while women are more pro-life than men, white women without a college degree gave 41 percent of their vote to Obama in 2008, which helped him close the Democrats' traditional gap with working-class whites.  They are also among the women most likely to be pro-life.  Right now their support for Obama has slipped to 38 percent.  Any move by Obama to push abortion further erodes that number.

If Obama heads into late 2012 with the same numbers he's facing now, he has to make a decision.  Does he play it safe on abortion and hope he doesn't lose enough youth and overall female voters, or does he abandon the youth vote and risk eroding his overall female support by going all-out on the abortion scare tactics, hoping it will drive turnout among college-educated females in large enough numbers to not only overcome the backlash, but nudge his total white vote upwards enough to push him over the finish line?

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