Deviance favors Obama

Reading the sample breakout of POLITICO (Tarrance/Lake) poll which claims to show Obama well-positioned to win re-election. 

There is one glaring problem, before you even get deep into the sample.  Thirty-seven percent of the sample describe their ideology as "liberal," which is twice as large as the general electorate in presidential election years.

You can't come down too hard on Tarrance and Lake, as no poll will be a perfect reflection of every fact of the electorate.  But a 200 percent deviance is a little much.

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